Lawrence Central
Boys - Girls
2010 - 2011 - 2012
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State Rank #4
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 45.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 87.8%
Advance to State Finals 93.5%
Advance to Semi-State 96.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
23  Matt Dorsey 11 15:58
27  Cole Hester 11 16:02
42  Chandler Ball 11 16:13
127  Kenny Thomas 10 16:42
128  Sean Gassen 12 16:42
Ross Pereira 12 17:10
Adam Turner 11 17:18
Carter Marshall 12 17:38
Austin Galm 12 17:56
Darin Lawrence 9 18:07
DateRace Rating
08/20 Lavern Gibson Early Bird 240
09/10 Brown County Eagle Classic 187
09/17 Flashrock Invitational (Blue) 227
09/24 Culver Invitational (Open) 232
09/24 Culver Invitational (Fr/So)
10/01 Marion County 214
10/05 Conference Indiana 287
10/11 Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional 260
10/15 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 207
10/22 Carmel Semi-State 226
10/29 State Finals 195




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 93.5% 5.9 202 2.1 6.7 11.0 13.0 12.5 11.1 10.3 8.4 7.1 5.7 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 96.5% 4.2 119 2.4 8.9 17.3 29.7 21.9 13.3 3.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.1 92 10.7 19.7 33.0 21.3 11.8 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.3 34 75.9 22.1 2.0 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 94.2% 22.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.3 2.8 11.0% 64.6%
Cole Hester 93.7% 26.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.6 3.1 3.5% 50.0%
Chandler Ball 93.5% 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.3 0.2% 13.7%
Kenny Thomas 93.5% 91.7 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Gassen 93.5% 92.6 0.0% 0.0%
Ross Pereira 93.5% 139.4 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Turner 93.5% 150.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 98.3% 12.5 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.5 6.2 5.6 6.1 5.9 6.3 5.6 5.0 4.1 3.7 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.6 1.4 1.1 51.1% 94.1%
Cole Hester 97.5% 14.8 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.5 3.3 3.8 4.7 5.1 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.3 4.8 4.6 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.4 2.0 29.0% 87.7%
Chandler Ball 96.6% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.5 4.5 4.9 4.8 5.6 5.5 5.1 5.6 5.0 2.3% 54.1%
Kenny Thomas 96.5% 46.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0% 0.7%
Sean Gassen 96.5% 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.0% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 100% 6.9 5.5 7.8 9.2 10.0 9.5 9.3 9.0 7.8 6.9 5.3 5.0 4.0 2.8 2.2 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Cole Hester 100% 8.8 2.0 4.0 5.6 7.3 7.9 8.4 8.2 8.6 7.6 7.8 6.6 5.2 4.7 3.7 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Chandler Ball 100% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.1 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.3 6.1 6.4 7.3 7.8 7.0 6.8 6.1 5.5 4.8 4.2 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.2 1.5 100.0%
Kenny Thomas 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.2 3.2 93.1%
Sean Gassen 100% 31.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.0 92.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 1.9 52.9 29.2 10.6 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Cole Hester 2.6 25.7 40.0 18.8 8.0 4.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1
Chandler Ball 4.5 1.7 7.4 28.7 23.5 15.5 11.2 7.1 3.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kenny Thomas 10.4 0.4 2.0 3.7 6.7 12.9 17.8 16.9 13.6 9.5 5.8 3.8 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Sean Gassen 10.5 0.5 1.6 3.7 6.2 12.0 17.7 17.5 13.2 10.3 6.0 3.9 2.8 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1